Richard, I say Russians run-out of readily available Palladium! Big implication, by proxy they must be running short on nickel...Commodities are going-up!
FOCUS-Russia warns of more PGM export delays 08:01 a.m. Apr 16, 1998 Eastern By Mike Collett-White
MOSCOW, April 16 (Reuters) - Russia poured more cold water on expectations of a quick resumption of long-delayed platinum and palladium exports on Thursday, with a leading official saying deliveries may not start for weeks or even months.
Russia, which supplied 60 percent of the world's palladium and up to one fifth of its platinum last year, has yet to deliver one ounce of either rare white metal abroad in 1998, sending values on Western markets soaring.
''It could be weeks, or months, before platinum group metals are released on to the market,'' Valery Goncharov, department head at the state precious metals reserve, told Reuters.
''Documents still need to be signed and issued, including export licenses and others.''
Hopes of a solution to the precious metal impasse were raised on Wednesday when officials confirmed that acting Prime Minister Sergei Kiriyenko had signed a key government order setting out platinum group metal export quotas for the year.
Previously the order had been described as the final hurdle to breaking the deadlock, which has consumers -- ranging from jewellers to catalytic converter manufacturers -- scrambling for cover by leasing metal and, increasingly, seeking substitutes.
But the political vacuum in Moscow means further significant delays now loom.
President Boris Yeltsin sacked his entire government last month, and needs a prime minister in place before a new leadership can be formed.
The State Duma lower house of parliament is due to vote on Kiriyenko's nomination for the second time on Friday, a week after having voted against his candidature.
Sergei Gorny, deputy director of Russia's sole platinum group metal export agency Almazjuvelirexport, said on Wednesday that the absence of a government could hold up the final paperwork needed to allow exports to flow.
Export licenses, for example, are issued by the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Relations. Mikhail Fradkov, previously head of the ministry, was removed from his post along with the rest of the government on Yeltsin's order on March 23.
Delays this year mirror major hold-ups in 1997, when exports of platinum and palladium did not start until July.
The hold-up led to speculation among metal traders that Russia had run down platinum and palladium stocks in recent years to boost state coffers -- speculation the industry has frequently tried to play down.
''There will be no shortage,'' Goncharov said.
Almaz's Gorny added on Thursday that he saw no major changes in export volumes this year over 1997 levels.
''Volumes this year are likely to be around the same as last year,'' he said.
Russian officials are prohibited by law from disclosing details on precious metals production, reserves and exports.
But leading platinum refiner Johnson Matthey estimates Russian 1997 palladium exports at 3.20 million ounces out of world supply of 5.65 million. Platinum supplies last year were pegged at 700,000 ounces out of a global total of 4.77 million.
Russia's platinum and palladium sector is still heavily centralised, with a single producer, Norilsk Nickel providing 95 percent of the country's total output.
Gokhran is the sole purchaser of this metal, and Almaz the only exporter.
((Moscow Newsroom, +7095 941-8520 moscow.newsroom+reuters.com))
Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited. |