How high will Microsoft fly? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?

MSFT 488.76

+0.4%

9:30 AM EST

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To: Brian Malloy who wrote (5845)	4/20/1998 11:45:00 PM
From: Moominoid	of 74651

You are correct, those are crazy numbers. The previous poster should be careful with these "log extrapolations". One of the underlying tenets of Regression be it logistic or some other form is that making interpretations outside of known data points is shall we say less than reliable and may bear no resemblance to future reality. Basically the confidence intervals increasingly diverge out from the projected regression line as the forecast period extends.Nothing grows exponentially forever. I heard this morning on the radio here in Aus Windows 98 unveiling was a bit of a debacle/fiasco. David

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