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Gold/Mining/Energy : American Eco (ECGOF, ECX on Toronto exchange)

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To: Yike who wrote (2411)4/21/1998 8:29:00 PM
From: david james   of 2841
 
New First Call estimates came out before the open today. Looks like
we've been downgraded from strong buy to buy. Could have been worse -
and now they have some realistic targets to shoot at - estimate for
next quarter is 18 cents - which is about flat with last year
considering this year will be fully taxed.

FIRST CALL EARNINGS ESTIMATES

ECGOF American ECO Corp. (US$) 04/21/98
Industry: Pollution SIC: 4955
Latest Price: $8.19 1998 P/E: 9.3
Analyst Recommendation: 2.0

QTR QTR FY FY
May 98 Aug 98 Nov 98 Nov 99
--- --- -- --
CURRENT MEAN EPS 0.18 0.22 0.88 1.12
Number of Brokers 1 1 2 2

Median 0.18 0.22 0.88 1.12
Standard Deviation - - 0.11 0.12
Current High 0.18 0.22 0.99 1.23
Current Low 0.18 0.22 0.77 1.00

Year Ago EPS 0.30A 0.28A 1.08A 0.88
Current vs. Year Ago Change -40% -21% -19% 27%
Report Date wk/Jul 15 wk/Oct 15 wk/Mar 5 -

EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISION MOMENTUM

Up Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0
Up Revisions last 30 days 0 0 0 0
Down Revisions last 7 days 1 1 1 1
Down Revisions last 30 days 0 0 0 0

EARNINGS ESTIMATES CONSENSUS TRENDS

Current Mean 0.18 0.22 0.88 1.12
7-days ago Mean 0.36 0.40 1.25 1.65
30-days ago Mean - - 0.99 1.23
60-days ago Mean - - 1.40 1.51
90-days ago Mean - - 1.40 1.23

COMPARATIVE ESTIMATES AND TRENDS

Industry - Pollution 9.03 9.83 34.82 -
Current vs. Year Ago Change -3% 2% 4447% -

Sector - INDUSTRIAL 10.53 11.00 40.77 44.13
Current vs. Year Ago Change 10% 14% 21% 8%

WSJ/DJ US Index 11.40 12.08 46.62 52.95
Current vs. Year Ago Change 9% 13% 12% 14%

Ratios Relative To: Company Industry Sector WSJ/DJ

P/E on 1998 Cal Yr Mean 9.3 24.92 19.44 22.82
PEG on 1998 Cal Yr Mean - 1.76 1.48 1.79

RECOMMENDATION AND GROWTH RATES

RECOMMENDATIONS LONG TERM GROWTH RATES

Current Mean 2.0 Next 5 yrs - Median -
Number of Brokers 2 Number of Brokers -
Industry Recommendation: 1.8 Industry Growth Rate: 14%

7-days ago Mean 1.0 Next 5 yrs - High -
30-days ago Mean 1.0 Next 5 yrs - Low -
60-days ago Mean 1.0 Last 5 Years 71%
90-days ago Mean 1.0

Diff. from Industry -0.2 Rel. to Industry -
Diff. from Sector +0.1 Rel. to Sector -
Diff. from WSJ/DJ US +0.2 Rel. to WSJ/DJ US -
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