Bernie,
Having read, and participated in, the VD thread discussion of LGND vs. LGNDW, I am amazed at your recollection of it. My recollection is that we all (you, Peter, V1, Dan, me, etc.) agreed that LGNDW was superior to LGND at their then-current (Friday) valuations. That conclusion remains valid this morning. In fact, I cannot recall anyone making the case that the common were a better buy. Had anyone done so, *his* would have been the lone voice, crying in the desert.
Proof of my version of events is that V1 ordered the switch from the common to the warrants for the VD model portfolio. As he noted in response to you, the chief difference between your analysis and that of the rest of us is that you analyze the purchase of an equal number of shares, whereas we analyze the investment of an equal dollar amount. In my view, that is more a procedural difference than a substantive one. I will grant that your point about taking margin interest rates (currently approximately 7%, not 9%, by the way) into account, rather than only the risk-free rate incorporated into the Black-Sholes model, is a valid one.
So, while academia-bashing has its time and place, this is not it, IMO. In particular, why are you so hard on the traditional analysis model when you, in fact, agree with its conclusions in this case?
RB |
