Bear! Message Board - Msg: 4224630

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Strategies & Market Trends : Bear!

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To: Alex Greenland who wrote (13)	4/27/1998 1:53:00 PM
From: Terrapin	of 274

Excellent job Alex! Good luck on finals! Always good to see a few formulas floating around. <g> BTW, did your X include reinvested distributions? GGG! But seriously, I completely agree that the new investor will see diminished returns - but I'm also convinced that the current average investor doesn't really pay attention. This seems to be uninformed money. That's bad for stability because they are more likely to panic leading to sudden steep drops but until we see a major cultural shift away from saving we may not see the traditional bear-type market. To tell the truth, I kinda hope we do see a short 1-2 year bear market [followed by another bull, of course] because A) I'm ready for it -mostly- and B) I'm young enough to recover and profit from it. What I fear is that the baby boomers will be in the middle of retirement, taking money out of the market for a period of 15-20 years just when I am putting kids through college and worrying about my nest-egg. I am already lamenting the prospect of trying to shuttle my kids around the roads of this nation as the boomers clog the highways in their enormous sport-utility-luxury-vehicles. Then again, they will need a lot of health care... <G>! John

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