THIS IS A GOOD ARTICLE TO READ....................;^)
Amazon Pulling Away From Competitors (04/28/98; 7:16 p.m. ET) By John Borland, Net Insider
With a stock split on the way, three new acquisitions under its belt, and planned expansions into the music and video sales business, Amazon.com appears to be moving far ahead of its competitors.
Although physical-world megastore Borders Books and Music is scheduled to come online soon with both books and CDs, analysts said Amazon's direct competitors are unlikely to follow it down the path of digital diversification soon.
"Barnes and Noble has to get its act together on books before it gets into music or video," said Vernon Keenan, a senior policy analyst with Zona Research.
Amazon said Monday it had agreed to purchase two online European booksellers as well as the Internet Movie Database, calling the move a prelude to online video sales. Last week the company opened the first stage of its planned online music store. Neither venture has a firm roll-out date, however.
Barnes and Noble, which has been Amazon's chief online competitor, initially reacted to Amazon's announcements by stressing the size of its own book catalog. In a press statement Tuesday, company vice chairman Steve Riggio said the site offered 600,000 different titles that could be shipped in 24 hours, calling it "the world's largest standing inventory."
"We have achieved our goal of providing visitors to our site with the largest number of book titles that can be quickly delivered of any online bookseller," he said. "Our online inventory continues to grow, almost daily."
A Barnes and Noble spokesman said the company was not ready to announce any new market initiatives of its own, but he stressed some of the chain's physical-world stores already sell items such as music and stationary. "We are constantly looking at product offerings that make sense," said the chain's director of public relations, Ben Boyd.
But analysts said the brick-and-mortar giant is unlikely to follow Amazon into other online markets in the near future.
"I don't think they're going to divert that much from their core strategy," said ABN AMRO New York analyst John Lyons. "They have to stay focused. If they start doing that, they wind up diluting their brand name."
None of the big online booksellers have started to turn profits yet. While Amazon is coming close, its acquisitions and investments will likely push that grail back to at least 2000, said Lyons.
Amazon said Monday it had posted fourth-quarter revenues of more than $87 million, exceeding Wall Street expectations.
Barnes and Noble, which had originally hoped to reach online profitability by 1999, has also pushed back its projections. The company's Internet site, which went live in May, posted total 1997 revenues of only $15 million, Boyd said. But the company did not start its full-bore print and radio advertising campaign until this month, he added, and it expects to hit the $100 million mark in 1998.
The company's relatively low online revenues have disappointed some analysts. "None of the brick-and-mortar players have made a significant dent on the Internet yet," Keenan said. "Barnes and Noble has not met the expectations you would have with the giant brand [name] they bring."
Keenan noted the Internet start-ups have a natural advantage in attracting Web-savvy engineers, since the companies can offer incentives like stock options, and can use the capital markets to raise quick money. Traditional booksellers like Barnes and Noble and Borders pay for their Web ventures largely out of their existing stores' profits, giving them less flexibility than a company like Amazon, he said.
The quick growth of online companies like Amazon threatens even the largest traditional competitors around the world, Keenan added.
"I'm not ruling them out. I think the first round is kind of over...But I think they can afford to lose several rounds," he said. "But if they're not careful, brands like Amazon and CDNow will become the global media brands, replacing local brands like Barnes and Noble."
Amazon's stock closed Tuesday at 95 3/4, up from 82 3/4 Monday.
>>>While Amazon is coming close,<<<< what the hell is this guy talking about?....a loss of 40 cents and the biggest loss yet dollar wise is coming close? These news people have no clue....and then in the next sentence he says likely there will be no profit until year 2000...........that should drive the stock another 10 points.....can't have those pesky profits now, can we? then you could assign a real valuation to the company, huh? P/E seems to be forgotten these days, whatta joke.......bought Oct 65 puts today, see y'all in a couple months.........;^) |