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Technology Stocks : Orbital science (ORB)
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To: Mohan Marette who wrote (1584)4/29/1998 2:02:00 PM
From: Don Beals  Read Replies (2) of 2394
 
Mohan

Using:
a range of from 500 to 100,000 meteors per hour
500 satellites at an average orbit of 200 miles
earth's radius of 3950 miles
average satellite area of 400 square feet

I come up with an hourly probability of one of the 500 satellites being hit of from 1/2,400,000 to 1/510,000,000. This would have to be multiplied by the number of hours of exposure. IMO this is a very low probability.

Don
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