How high will Microsoft fly? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?

MSFT 476.93

+0.6%

3:59 PM EST

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To: WeisbrichA who wrote (6321)	4/30/1998 3:10:00 PM
From: WeisbrichA	Read Replies (2) of 74651

James, If you took 100 shares today at $90 ($9,000), and compounded it at the rate that Fortune used for past history (~45%), you would have $369,762.22 at the end of the 10th year. Do you know of ANY, company that has sustained a only a 25% growth rate for 20 years. 20 for 20? Automotive uses may provide new territory. What about market saturation in other areas. How many people can buy W98 or Excel97? How many potential sales for NT4W/NT5W, NT4S/NT5S? WHen does demand on any of these products level off? Eventually everyone "will have one". Then the market shifts to upgrades and/or replacements and normal economic growth. New products and technology have to be continually introduced. MSFT could end up looking like HWP or IBM with their growth rates. I would be happy with only 20% ($9,000 -> $55,725.63 compounded) for the next 10 years. RW

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