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Technology Stocks : Cymer (CYMI)

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To: Starlight who wrote (17293)5/2/1998 12:55:00 PM
From: TI2, TechInvestorToo  Read Replies (2) of 25960
 
I believe that the basis for pricing 193nm masks is based on extension of existing business models which is well understood. The business experience for building x ray masks is rather limited, particularly by the merchant maskmakers ( DPMI, PLAB, MASK ) so I am skeptical in the ability to forecast the xray mask price. I would not be surprised to find that xray mask prices are more than optical mask prices. The infrastructure to build xray masks is substantial even with the recent advances to simplify the fabrication process ( switch from gold to some refractory metal- tungsten ? that IBM, Motorola announced last fall).
TI2

PS- I believe that the extension of optical techniques to the so called "sub-resolution" domains ( The UT work at 193nm exposure wavelengths printing <100nm linewidths, the PLAB work at 248nm exposure wavelengths printing linewidths <130nm) will require mask linewidth specs that will make the 100k$ price conservative. Its rumored those prices are already being paid for 250nm masks needed for state of the art fabs. The prices are paid because of productivity improvements in the 3B$ fabs. (and the availability of masks).
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