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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: Joey Two-Cents who wrote (8292)5/4/1998 7:23:00 PM
From: Pancho Villa  Read Replies (3) of 18691
 
RGEN: I will check with my MD friends.... here is some info from a board somewhere in cyberspace:

DAYTRADER: We have a little secret for you: The stocks that are piggybacking
Entremed (ENMD 55 1/16 +43) higher today will all come crashing back to earth,
very soon. BLSI (7 3/8 +5 1/4, +247%), MAGN (8 3/16 +2 1/4, +38%), RGEN (3
17/32 +2 1/16, +140%) and IMGN (+2 1/16 +17/32, +35%) will all hit the wall.
It won't happen today and, if the stocks are extremely lucky, maybe not even
tomorrow. But when the momentum ends, the short-sellers will finally get there
chance to hit a homerun. If shorting momentum stocks, one really should have a
plan or some rules, otherwise you could find yourself the victim of a margin
call, or even worse, a capital sucking two-bagger. A few hints: 1) be careful
about holding a high-flying short overnight, the stock could gap open and eat
you alive the next day; 2) No need to be a hero. Fighting the trend can kill
you. It is much less risky to short the stock once it begins to collapse. 3)
In most cases, the initial retreat is not the time to short the stock. The
first uptick on a tumbling stock is often times the near-term bottom. Traders
may want to use that recovery in price as an opportunity to short. For those
who don't have much experience shorting stocks, these rules may help you get
started. Of course, they are certainly not foolproof. Before placing serious
money on a short position, one should make several test runs on paper.
Remember, with momentum stocks, one can quickly lose their entire stake on the
short end. These stocks always climb much faster than they fall. But if you
can develop a strategy, 40% and 50%, 3-day gains are often times the reward.

Pancho
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