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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 155.15+2.1%Nov 26 3:59 PM EST

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To: Fortinwit who wrote (5258)5/5/1998 3:11:00 AM
From: eabDad  Read Replies (1) of 10921
 
Forti: While Carl Johnson & Co. do not market themselves as "timers" they do write an investment newsletter and recommend positions in stocks - therefore they should be measured as such. Carl listens to the equipment companies too much, often the last place to look for a change in the market fundamentals. He also tends to try and dig up competitive site info - very little of which makes a real difference on which company gets accounts to the point of affecting stock price.

In my experience, stock prices are set by (in this order):
A. Market fundamentals 6 months in the future
B. Investor psychology
C. Company fundamentals - market share trends and product position
D. Market fundamentals today
E. What the company says
F. Single account competitive stuff

Carl spends all his time on D through F, some C, but very little on A and B - therefore he cannot be a good market timer.

Z
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