>>Daniel Briere also was very NEGATIVE as far as real deployment figures for 98 and 99...
Hi R; I think he said 100K this year, 800K-1M next year (worldwide) He also made a comment about getting a cable modem because DSL wasn't going to be in his neighborhood any time soon.
For those that didn't hear it, other comments by Danny Briere;
BellSouth trials extended, not see anything out of them till the end of the year
Ameritech -end of the year but in a very aggressive way, 65 central offices.
Reasons for delay of xDSL deployment - Phone co's are going through a lot of politics right now. They see this as a long term solution, so it's not something that has to be done in the next month, they're putting together a 10 to 30 year infrastructure. DMT not ready, does not have the density and cost point for mass deployment, people are waiting for a cost effective DMT solution. CAP not dead by any means. There's significant deployment occurring behind the scenes in buildings and on campuses. He knows of one company who's sole business case is to target apartment complexes near major university's sell them a 20 year contract for internet access that's built into the lease of the apartments, and they don't care what line code they use because from the apartment out it's T1. Very aggressive deployment by the CLEC's. One of most significant events thus far this year is the launch of Redbacks Networks device which is very compatible with all the radius authentication and security services that are deployed by the ISP's. We see from Westell a major interoperability announcement to push that (interoperability) forward. Your seeing Redbacks being very quickly and widely being deployed to provide a lot of the service level management and to fill in a lot of the holes that is not being provided by the DSLAM's that are focusing on the layer 1 and some of the layer 2 functionality ....I really think this (class of) product will have a major impact on the deployment of DSL. Head to head race with cable modems, whatever goes in first will be very hard to displace. If I have a cable modem I'm going to have to have a really compelling reason to swap that out for DSL.
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