FWIW This made me feel better anyway...
Thank you for requesting an analysis of Box Hill Sys from VectorVest
ProGraphics. The ticker symbol for Box Hill Sys is BXH. BXH is traded on the
New York Stock Exchange.
PRICE: BXH closed on 07-May-1998 at $9.80 per share.
VALUE: BXH has a Value of $15.30 per share. Value is the foundation of the
VectorVest system.It is a measure of what a stock is currently worth. Value
is based upon earnings, earnings growth rate, dividend payments, dividend
growth rate, and financial performance. Current interest and inflation rates
also play an important role in the computation of Value. When interest
and/or inflation rates decrease, Value goes up. When interest rates and
inflation increase, Value goes down. Sooner or later a stock's Price and
Value always converge.
RV (Relative Value): BXH has an RV of 1.35. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an
RV of 1.35 is excellent. RV reflects the long-term price appreciation
potential of the stock compared to an alternative investment in AAA
Corporate Bonds. Stocks with RV ratings above 1.00 have attractive upside
potential. A stock will have an RV greater than 1.00 when its Value is
greater than Price, and its Relative Safety (see below) and forecasted
earnings growth rate are above average. In some cases, however, a stock's RV
will be above 1.00 even though its Value is well below Price. This happens
when a stock has an exemplary record of financial performance and an above
average earnings growth rate. In this case, the stock is currently selling
at a premium, and the investor is banking on future earnings growth to drive
the stock's price higher. This information is very useful not only in
knowing whether or not a stock has favorable price appreciation potential,
but it also solves the riddle of whether to buy high growth, high P/E, or
low growth, low P/E stocks.
We believe that RV ratings above 1.00 are required to consistently achieve
above average capital gains in the stock market.
RS (Relative Safety): BXH has an RS rating of 0.79. On a scale of 0.00 to
2.00, an RS of 0.79 is poor. VectorVest looks at safety from the viewpoint
of an equity investor (one who is buying stock of a company) rather than
that of a purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the company). From
this perspective, consistency of financial and operating performance, stock
price appreciation history, and price volatility are the key factors used in
the evaluation of Relative Safety (RS). Debt to equity ratio,
capitalization, sales volume, business longevity and other factors are also
considered, but to a lesser degree.
VectorVest favors steady, predictable performers. All stocks are rated on a
scale of 0.00 to 2.00. A stock with an RS greater than 1.00 is safer and
more predictable than the average of all stocks. A stock with an RS less
than 1.00 is less predictable and riskier than the average stock.
RT (Relative Timing): BXH has an RT rating of 0.57. On a scale of 0.00 to
2.00, an RT of 0.57 is poor. RT is a fast, responsive, short-term price
trend indicator. It analyzes the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a
stock's price behavior over the last 13 weeks; then reflects and projects
the short-term price performance of the stock. Once a stock's Price has
established a strong trend, it is expected to continue that trend for the
short-term. If the trend dissipates, RT will gravitate towards 1.00. Should
the price change dramatically, RT will notice the crucial turning point.
When warranted, it will explode from a Price low and dive from a Price high.
All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. If RT is above 1.00,the
stock's Price is in an uptrend. Below 1.00, the stock's Price is in a
downtrend.
VST-Vector (VST): BXH has a VST-Vector rating of 0.93. On a scale of 0.00 to
2.00, an VST of 0.93 is fair. VST-Vector solves the dilemma of balancing
Value, Safety and Timing. Stocks with high RV values often have low RS
values, or stocks withlow RV and RS values have high RT's. How can we find
the stocks with the best combinations of Value, Safety, and Timing?
The classic vector formula (square root of the sum of the squares) handles
this problem. It combines a set of forces into a single indicator for
ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. Stocks with the highest
VST-Vector have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are
the ones to own for above average capital application.
GRT (Growth Rate): BXH has a GRT of 20 % per year. This is excellent. GRT
stands for forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per year. GRT is
updated each week for every stock. Watch GRT trends very carefully. If the
GRT trend is up, the stock's Price will likely rise. If the GRT trend is
down, the stock's Price will increase more slowly, cease to increase, or
subsequently fall.
Recommendation (REC): BXH has a Sell recommendation. REC reflects the
cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These
parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks which
are rising in price, and to avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks which are
falling in price.
VectorVest is tuned to give an "H" or "B" signal when a stock's price is
approximately 10% above a recent low, and an "S" signal when the stock's
price is approximately 10% below a recent high. High RV, RS stocks are
favored toward receiving "B" REC's, and sheltered from receiving "S" RECs.
STOP-PRICE: BXH has a Stop-Price of$ 10.40 per share. This is $0.60 or6.1%
aboveits current closing Price. VectorVest analyzes over 6,000 stocks each
day for Value, Safety and Timing, and calculates a Stop-Price for each
stock. These Stop-Prices are based upon 13 week moving averages of closing
prices, and are fine-tuned according to each stock's fundamentals.
In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a "B" or an "H" recommendation if its
price is above its Stop-Price, and an "S" recommendation if its price is
below its Stop-Price.
DIV (Dividend): BXH does not pay a dividend. VectorVest focuses on annual,
regular, cash dividends indicated by the most recent disbursement. Special
distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., generally are not
included in Dividend (DIV).
DY (Dividend Yield): BXH has a DY of 0.0 percent. This is below the current
market average of 1.2 percent. DY equals 100 x (DIV/PRICE), and is expressed
as a percentage.
EY (Earnings Yield): BXH has an EY of 8.53%. This is above the current
market average of 4.82%. EY equals 100 x (EARNINGS PER SHARE/PRICE), and is
expressed as a percentage.
EPS (Earnings Per Share): BXH has an EPS of $0.84 per share. EPS stands for
leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. VectorVest determines this forecast
from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal
and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.
P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): BXH has a P/E ratio of 11.72. This ratio is
computed daily based upon Price and EPS. P/E = Price/EPS.
GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): BXH has a GPE of 1.71. This ratio suggests that
This ratio suggests that BXH is undervalued. Growth to P/E ratio is a
popular measure of stock valuation which compares Earnings Growth Rate (GRT)
to Price Earnings ratio (P/E). A stock is considered to be undervalued when
GPE is greater than 1.00, and vice-versa. VectorVest believes that RV is a
much better indicator of long-term value. The RV of 1.35 for BXH is
excellent.
DS (Dividend Safety): BXH has a DS of 0. On a scale of 0 to 99, a DS of 0 is
poor. DS is defined as the assurance that regular cash dividends will be
declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future.
Stocks with DS values above 50 on a scale of 0 to 99 areabove average in
safety.
RISK (Dividend Risk): BXH does not pay a dividend. All stocks in the
VectorVest system that pay dividends are classified as having Low, Medium or
High Dividend Risk (RISK). Stocks with DS values above 50 are above average
in safety. These stocks are classified as having LOW or MEDIUM RISK. Stocks
with DS values below 50 are below average in safety and are classified as
having HIGH Risk.
DG (Dividend Growth): BXH has a DG of 0 percent per year. Dividend Growth is
a subtle yet important indicator of a company's historical financial
performance and the board's current outlook on the future use of funds.
YSG-VECTOR (Yield-Safety-Growth Vector): BXH has a YSG-Vector of 0.00. On a
scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an YSG-Vector rating of 0.00 is very poor. VectorVest
combines Dividend YIELD, SAFETY and GROWTH into a single parameter.
YSG-Vector allows direct comparison of all dividend paying stocks. Stocks
with the highest YSG-Vector values have the best combinations of Dividend
Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average
current income and long-term growth.
VOL(100)s: BXH traded 25900 shares on 07-May-1998.
AVG VOL(100)s: BXH has an Average Volume of 132434. Average Volume is 50 day
moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest.
% VOL: BXH had a Volume change of -80.4% from its 50 day moving average
volume.
OPEN: BXH opened trading at $9.70 per share on 07-May-1998.
HIGH: BXH traded at a high of $9.90 per share on 07-May-1998.
LOW: BXH traded at a low of $9.70 per share on 07-May-1998.
CLOSE: BXH Closed trading at $9.80 per share on 07-May-1998.
% PRC: BXH showed a Price change of -1.0% from the prior day's closing
price.
INDUSTRY: BXH has been assigned to the Computer (Memory Devices) Group.
VectorVest classifies stocks into over 190 Industry Groups and 50 Business
Sectors.
BXH has well below average safety with well above average upside potential.
It reflects a stock which is likely to give well above average,inconsistent
returns over the long term.
The basic strategy of VectorVest is to buy low risk, high reward stocks. We
suggest that Prudent investors buy enough high Relative Value, high Relative
Safety stocks to keep the overall RV and RS ratings of their portfolios
above 1.00. As you do this, you'll find that your risk will go down and your
investment performance will improve. Not a bad combination. |
