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Biotech / Medical : Ligand (LGND) Breakout!
LGND 200.79-0.2%3:59 PM EST

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To: Machaon who wrote (20548)5/11/1998 11:16:00 PM
From: Andrew H  Read Replies (3) of 32384
 
>>I think that going from 9 to 84 cents for 1999 earnings would be a good guess for the Seragen effect >>

IMO, it is highly unlikely that the SRGN drug for CTCL is going to bring LGND anywhere near .84/share for 1999, even in combination with Panretin which should be a much better seller. If 37% of patients had to quit from the side effects, a significant part of the target population will be eliminated from treatment. Of course these patients may not be fully representative of the target populations.

Its going to take some time for the drug to penetrate the market, assuimg it is approved.
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