I have watched Medicis(MDRX) climb on sales of dermatology medications. It's niche is different from PRCY in demographic group, but similar in targeting a professional group of practices. It was profiled in an interesting Forbes Magazine article several years ago. PRCY will hopefully experience similar success.
FOR PRIVATE USE ONLY:
By Michael Gianturco
Michael Gianturco is president of The Princeton Portfolios. His latest book is How to Buy Technology Stocks (Little, Brown, 1996). EACH YEAR 10 million acne sufferers seek help from dermatologists. They constitute the largest single category of dermatology patients. Even so, the annual dollar volume of prescriptions for the many and various acne medications is only $500 million. That's too small and fragmented a market for the big drug companies, which are looking for blockbusters, drugs that can each produce revenues of $300 million or more and compete in markets valued in billions.
What this means is that there is a small but lucrative niche in acne products that can be exploited by companies like Medicis Pharmaceutical. This little Phoenix firm is an acne expert. Two of its three major products treat acne. One is minocycline (brand name, Dynacin), an oral antibiotic particularly effective against Propionibacterium acnes. The other is Triaz, a gel containing benzoyl peroxide, an age-old acne remedy, plus glycolic acid, to expose the infection, and a zinc anti-inflammatory.
In the past three years Medicis has expanded its annual revenue from $11 million to $25 million. In the year ended June 30 it earned 84 cents a share, and its net margin in the last quarter was 31 cents on the dollar, up from 17 cents a year ago. The stock has been steadily climbing, from a 1995 low of a split-adjusted 1 3/4 to its recent 40. Medicis has 7.5 million shares outstanding and has filed to issue up to 2 million additional shares. The lesson in this success story is that less is sometimes more. Medicis has a spartan R&D budget, only 59 employees (half of them sales reps) and no manufacturing plants. Its fastest-growing product, Triaz, deletes one of the active ingredients (an antibiotic) used in the recipe for competitive products--and yet studies show it delivers better results.
Medicis licenses or buys drugs developed by other firms. So its research spending is minimal, although Triaz was invented by Jonah Shacknai, the chairman, and Eugene Gans, director of research. Their method of manufacturing Triaz and its unique composition are patented.
Medicis also jobs out all of its drug manufacturing, so that it has no direct exposure to Food & Drug Administration inspections and bureaucracy. What's left? Marketing.
Medicis concentrates on serving dermatologists and styles itself "the dermatology company." Of the 6,600 office-based dermatologists in the U.S. the busiest half write 80% of the prescriptions. It works out that the ratio of these active dermatologists to Medicis sales representatives is only about 100-to-1. By narrowly defining its market, Medicis can pay close attention to these customers. Much larger competitors cannot afford to take this much trouble to support a small catalog of acne treatments. The dermatology market is probably worth $5 billion in total, but is highly fragmented, meaning no single prescription blockbuster can hope to bring home one-fourth or one-third of this huge pie.
In contrast, says Shacknai, Medicis is interested in drugs with the potential to produce as little as $10 million in revenues. Large drug companies are willing to divest products like that. The typical deal is for money up front, plus a promise of royalties. For example, Medicis bought from SmithKline Beecham in 1991 a profitable line of "fade creams" for liver spots, freckles and other minor discolorations. It returns revenues of $4 million to $5 million and holds a 40% share of this modest market.
The Medicis strategy may represent a trend. At least two other publicly held pharmaceutical companies also target a single medical specialty or therapeutic class: Dura Pharmaceutical and Jones Medical. Jones has acquired two thyroid drugs within the past year; Dura is building a portfolio in respiratory drugs.
Shacknai is not a pharmacologist. He is a lawyer who developed an expertise in drug regulatory issues. He started Medicis Pharmaceutical in 1988 in New York City, took it public in 1990 at a split-adjusted 7, got it into the black in 1994 and moved out West in 1995. "In Phoenix we are the twentieth-largest company in town. In New York I doubt we were the twentieth-largest company in our building."
A big fish in a small pond. I have been accumulating Medicis for customer accounts, and I consider it a buy at 35 or better.
COPYWRITE FORBES MAGAZINE SEPTEMBER 23,1996
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Hope this inspires out patience.
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