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Technology Stocks : Electro Scientific???
ESIO 29.990.0%Feb 1 4:00 PM EST

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To: vinh pham who wrote (380)5/13/1998 12:43:00 PM
From: Mark Oliver  Read Replies (1) of 723
 
Seems like we've seen some degree of strengthening in in circuit board manufacturing. There have been a series of upgrades this week. The following came again out today.

Flextronics International Ltd. (FLEXF) 48 1/2 -1: Deutsche Morgan Grenfell initiates coverage of turnkey manufacturer of electronics components with "accumulate".....

Solectron Corp. (SLR) 46 1/16 -3/16: Deutsche Morgan Grenfell initiates coverage of electronic manufacturing services provider to OEMs with "accumulate"..

Jabil Circuit (JBL) 37 15/16: Cowen & Co. upgrades circuit board manufacturer from "hold" to "buy"...


And then you have Applied Materials. Seems like there is a mixed view on what's coming, but I feel it's not looking so good for front end equipment suppliers. The previous article I posted about moving to higher density DRAM is positive, but then how much is it favorable for a refitting of an existing plant vs a totally new fab? Anyway, it seems like the market is not ready to dump AMAT and that's good for ESIO.

Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) 37 7/8 -1/16: --UPDATE-- Adams Harkness lowers earnings estimates on semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment maker as conditions in Japan continue to deteriorate; latest results were in line, but Q3 guidance is for orders of $850 to $1 bln, revenues of $925-$975 mln and EPS of $0.20 to $0.23 a share; management expects orders to bottom some time between Q1 and Q3 of FY99, as DRAM producers begin new fab construction; management does not expects an upturn in semi capital expenditures until second half of calendar 1999; continues to rate issue "market perform" while lowering FY98 from $1.46 to $1.33 and FY99 from $1.46 to $1.10 a share.....

Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) 37 1/2 -7/16: --UPDATE-- BA Robertson Stephens downgrades semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment maker from "strong buy" to "buy" following the release of its Q2 results which matched Wall Street expectations.....

Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) 37 15/16 +11/16: semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment maker posts a fiscal Q2 net of $0.37 a share, in line with the First Call estimate, vs year-ago profit of $0.27; sales rose 31% to $1.18 bln; company remains cautious over near-term outlook, however.....


And then you have Teradyne. It seems again that there is a question between firms on how demand for test equipment is going. I don't see it as a straight comparision to ESI, but I often feel more is told by test figures than front end.

Teradyne (TER) 36: BA Robertson Stephens downgrades from "buy" to "long-term attractive"...

Any thoughts on what's happening with Vision? Are we waiting to see with KLIC, or are we starting to see any progress?

SemiconWest coming to the rescue in June. Do you think we'll trade down until then, and see a little upturn as things are more clear in a month and more opinions are expressed in public?

Do you think we'll see much happening in laser correction for Flash memory? There is a big move to flash that will bepowered by Windows CE and palm computers. These systems won't have hard drives as they take too much power. Digital camera are also building momentum with their demand for flash. The capacity points on these chips are getting very high. Must be some need for yield repair.

In the conference call, they said there was new demand coming for yeild repair. Do you remember what it was for? Embedded memory?

Regards,

Mark
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