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Technology Stocks : HWP -- Hewlett Packard
HPQ 19.01-1.8%3:59 PM EST

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To: Uncle Frank who wrote (2110)5/13/1998 7:00:00 PM
From: EL KABONG!!!  Read Replies (2) of 4722
 
Frank,

My guesstimate is that the market will overreact tomorrow into Friday, and cooler heads will prevail by Monday, at which time the stock will slowly recover. The earnings miss is about 16%, so reducing the price by 16% would give a rough "fair reaction" of about 68 or 69. If the market overreacts, then we're looking at 65 or below. I think that Friday will be the low point because institutional buy/sell programming might not give a sell signal until after a certain low price is reached, say late Thursday or early Friday, at which time the price drops further. Then institutional programming reacts to the new (lower) price and by Monday, we start to see a small upturn. Whatcha think?

KJC
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