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Strategies & Market Trends : Graham and Doddsville -- Value Investing In The New Era

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To: porcupine --''''> who wrote (316)5/14/1998 9:26:00 PM
From: porcupine --''''>  Read Replies (1) of 1722
 
Buffett says U.S. stock prices need rosy scenerio

NEW YORK, May 14 (Reuters) - Billionaire investor Warren Buffett,
chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRKa - news), said in a
taped interview released on Thursday that a rosy scenario was
necessary to justify current share prices. The comments were made
on May 8 in an interview taped for television, were released on
Thursday and will air on May 16 on ''Adam Smith's Money Game,'' a
public television show.

When asked by interviewer Adam Smith if corporate profits could
continue to grow at current rates, Buffett said: ''I don't want
to bet on it continuing. But I am saying that if it does continue
then stocks are not overvalued, but it takes a rosy scenerio to
justify these prices.''

Buffett said he did not think stock prices had much margin of
safety now.

''It leads to caution,'' he said. ''But it doesn't predict a bear
market.''

''I don't think there is much of a margin of safey in stock
prices right now,'' he said in the interview. ''No, there is not
a margin of safety.''

Buffett also commented on the recent wave of massive merger
deals, saying when asked that they were partly driven by the egos
of chief executives.

''It is not fun if you are a CEO to look around and see your
competitors or colleagues making deal after deal and being
plastered all over the press and to sit there and say I don't
think these deals make sense,'' he said. ''And you have got other
constituencies urging you on.''

When asked about derivatives, Buffett said it would be nearly
impossible to regulate them at this point.

''They are here to stay and I think regulation would be almost
impossible,'' he said.

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