I Agree and Disagree At The Same Time...
Without question, the day of the search engine as purely search engine has hit twilight. (Though, I should point out that SEEK's server product search engine sales have surged from 6% to 12% of overall earnings... and are now up and running on a variety of highly prestigious corporate intra, extra, and internets.) And you are right to point out the bland, me-too-ism of channelized search.
But, here's where our opinions divide. I think the search egines/portals-in-the-making are just beginning: XCIT and SEEK and maybe LCOS as well. These are by any measure prime properties. (BTW, I just saw a MasterCard/XCIT commercial on Seinfeld.) And as a bit on CNET about portals this morning pointed out, newbies, researchers, and students will still want a VERY STRONG search engine at the heart of their portal... to help them navigate and make sense of the Web.
What we will now see--and this is the safest prediction of 1998--are major media companies and brand names starting to buy chunks of this existing real estate or entering into major relationships. (I've heard others argue that, well, anybody can do what a Yahoo!, much less a SEEK or LCOS, has done: low barriers to market entry, etc. And, yet the path is littered with abortive attempts... like Time Warner's Pathfinder that has never found a compelling voice or large audience... or AT&T's (I think it was called) BusinessNet offering.)
Without question, we are in a (pardon the pun) searching mode: Search Engines are trying to find their straightest path to portal status. And right now the sector is rife with me-too-ism. But, it is for me, at least, instructive to note that at various points in the development of other MASS MEDIA, like TV networks, me-too-ism was rampant as well.
We are in the 4th inning of a very good game. JMHO...
Best Regards,
c m |