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Technology Stocks : TAVA Technologies (TAVA-NASDAQ)

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To: Roger Lovett who wrote (16957)	5/15/1998 8:48:00 PM
From: CalculatedRisk	Read Replies (1) of 31646

Roger, a shorts perspective of the numbers. (I was hoping to see the 10-Q before commenting on this quarter). If TAVA generates $5M in additional revenue this quarter (about $17M total), it is possible, although unlikely, that they could achieve the analyst's forecast. It is simple: 1) 60% gross margin on additional revenue. 2) pay no taxes (TAVA's tax loss carryforward is approximately $4.3M) 3) hold expenses (G&A is possible, although M&S will probably increase) This translates to about $0.13 per share fully diluted. You are correct in using the fully diluted shares of approx. 25 Million. (The other poster is wrong ... as usual). This is NOT my prediction - just an example. I will make revenue and earnings forecasts for the quarter after the 10-Q is filed. BTW, be careful with these "analyst" estimates! Remember these analysts are paid by TAVA to "follow" the Company. Surprised? Regards, Bill

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