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Technology Stocks : Y2k Why the stock-market will collapse within days/week

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To: Paul van Wijk who wrote ()5/18/1998 5:22:00 AM
From: Paul van Wijk  Read Replies (2) of 185
 
Y2k forces investors to change strategy

Source; The netherlander, the only daily Financial magazine in the
Netherlands.

Ranking according to ING-BARINGS-report

The scenario of ING BARINGS is qualified as MODERATE OPTIMISTIC

Less risc;
- IT-services, CAP Gemini, Baan
- Media
- Retail
- Bodyshopping (not IT-specific)
- Other, TNT Post

Medium Risc;
- Trade
- Media (more internationally oriented)
- Building/construction
- Others, like KPN Telecom, Aegon, ASM Lithography

Above average risc
- Banks, ING!!!!, ABN/AMRO
- Insurance companies
- Transportation
- Food, Unilever, Heineken
- Building/construction
- Others, Royal Dutch

High Risk;
- Proces-industry AKZO
- Food
- Transportation, KLM
- Others, Philips

I hope I translated the categories well. I mainly named the companies
that have a listing in New York or Nasdaq.

Main reason to qualify companies as high-risk is;
THEIR DEPENDENCY ON DATE-DRIVEN EMBEDDED SOFTWARE

Expected trends;
- increasing unemployment,
- increasing inflation,
- increasing budget deficit.

Paul
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