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Technology Stocks : Y2k Why the stock-market will collapse within days/week
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To: John Mansfield who wrote (48)5/19/1998 4:35:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Read Replies (2) of 185
 
[HARLAN] Continuing story of...Harlan Smith vs. Fred Swirbul

I like both Harlan and Fred... Why is this so exiting? Both are very knowledgeable about utilities and about Y2k... (Harlan more on the latter; Fred more on the former).

It is because this is the discussion that is going on inside the minds of many persons, including myself ('oh it will be that bad, because.. but have you thought about so and so...; so maybe it won't be that bad... and so on).

John

_______

Fred Swirbul <fswirbul@ix.netcom.com> wrote in article
<6jpsso$nob@sjx-ixn8.ix.netcom.com>...

> I could go into more detail, but is this answering your question?

Well, the things you have said are common sense best scheduling of
resources.

What worries me is that the planning seems to be done on the premise that
the 1999 repair environment will be as good as 1998.

That is a false premise for several reasons:

1. There will be much less time to order and receive needed repair parts
that are identified late in the game.

2. There will be much more work stress on personnel, as the pace of
remediation accelerates in the remaining days.

3. Employees will begin to be affected by general Y2K stress and worry.

4. Improper scoping of work may force emergency outages of other generating
stations and consequent lack of electric power to your downed site might
further impede your work.

5. Significant Y2K disruptions may become evident as NY State, Canada and
UK start the 2000 fiscal year on 1999-04-01.

I would say that any plan to do electric generating station or transmission
or distribution remediation after 1998-12-21 is a _very _bad plan. Yet, I
believe I have observed you to casually talk about such.

I am not questioning your competence to do a bang up job in the semi-normal
environment of 1998, but I question anybody's competence to plan and
execute a job into 1999. Pardon the expression, but you ought to be going
balls out now and working all kinds of overtime right now to avoid such.

If you plan on doing anything but taking care of minor exceptions in Jan -
Mar 1999 and beyond I would say you have a very bad plan.

Now I think you clearly know what's bothering me.

Harlan

___

Subject:
Re: Gary North Ridicules Fred Swurbil
Date:
18 May 1998 14:33:07 EDT
From:
"Harlan Smith" <hwsmith.nowhere@cris.com>
Organization:
Paperless
Newsgroups:
comp.software.year-2000
References:
1 , 2 , 3 , 4
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