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Pastimes : Generation Xers--saving and investing strategy

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To: TobaccoMan who wrote (55)5/20/1998 11:45:00 AM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (1) of 100
 
Hey, glad to see I'm not the only one here!
Here is the June-July-August forecast for
North America from the Climate Prediction Center
(NOAA/NWS)

nic.fb4.noaa.gov:80/products/predictions/multi_season/13_seasonal_outlooks/2_week_outlook/index.html

click on the temp/precip map link, or go directly there
with this link

nic.fb4.noaa.gov:80/products/predictions/multi_season/13_seasonal_outlooks/2_week_outlook/450LL01.gif

Looks like the coolness anomaly is centered on Wyoming and
western Nebraska, and the wetness anomaly is centered on
Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin and the north half of Illinois.
A better chance for normal temps or warmth as you move east
toward Ohio, but pretty much even odds for all catagories.

For Northeast Kansas where the odds favor coolness and wetness
by five percent...it works out this way
33% chance of seing normal precip
38% chance of being wet
29% chance of being dry

likewise for temps, 33 normal, 38 cool, 29 warm
and one standard deviation over the historical norms
is what you have to exceed to get in the other categories.

pretty sure I've got that right...
proably don't want to be long grain futures this year,
unless you want to go for early frost hype, and I would
guess folks make that bet when the harvest looks like
it is going to be huge and the options are the cheapest...

I belive the corn in Minnesota is already ten inches high
...way ahead of last year.
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