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Technology Stocks : Manugistics, Inc. (MANU)
MANU 17.35+2.1%Feb 6 3:59 PM EST

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To: Clam Clam who wrote (573)5/21/1998 5:06:00 PM
From: Konehead  Read Replies (1) of 1670
 
The way I see it, there are three possibilities:

35% chance the speculation turns out to be groundless. Manu makes the numbers, stock gains back most of its losses.

40% chance Manugistics makes the numbers by discounting and stretching A/R. Stock gains back some of its losses.

25% Manu misses numbers somewhat or a great deal. Manu goes down further.

Am not too worried about the long-term impact of scenario 3, SCM is a healthy business and Manu is very well positioned. However, the scenario prevents me from buying more Manu right this minute. Am I being too conservative? Is MANU now a good trading opportunity? Thoughts?
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