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Non-Tech : Gehl Company

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To: Michael Bakunin who wrote (42)5/22/1998 2:17:00 PM
From: Michael Bakunin  Read Replies (1) of 97
 
On the wire: "Gehl Company (GEHL) 16 1/4 -1 1/4: manufacturer of agricultural and light industry equipment started with a 'strong buy' rating at J.G. Kinnard."

nB: JG Kinnard is a small, MN-based B/D. On the web, I find:
pathfinder.com
cgi.amcity.com
commerce.state.mn.us

GEHL dropped to 16 today; I have to assume the Dahl sales, plus worries about demand, have helped drive the stock here. Deere and Case are down, too. Deere went so far as to make reassuring comments in its last earnings announcement:

biz.yahoo.com

Highlights: "Overall fundamentals of the farm economy are sound, and the demand for farm equipment is expected to remain favorable...low interest rates and solid economic growth continue to bolster construction equipment demand."

I think JG Kinnard is overoptimistic, but GEHL is trading at a PE of under 9, quite a discount to Case & Deere; its big brethren are at PE's of 12 and 12.7, respectively.

The spread is not as good as when I bought, but a 25% discount to Case is higher than the 10% I'd been assuming as 'fair value':
Message 3413144

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