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Strategies & Market Trends : India Coffee House
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To: Mohan Marette who wrote (852)5/22/1998 9:18:00 PM
From: Rational  Read Replies (2) of 12475
 
Mohan and others:

Does Pakistan really have nuclear capability? MNBC reported about technical difficulties for which Pakistan could not test. Since the Indian test in 1974, Pakistan had been struggling to smuggle parts from all over the world and they were even caught many times. I feel the Chinese have not supplied Pakistan the necessary fuses or some other key ingredients. A top level Pakistani delegation visited China soon after Indian test perhaps (???) to get these elements for the test and perhaps (??) China did not supply them.

However, Pakistanis are claiming that they have nuclear devices that are qualitatively superior to India's. This could still mean that they have the Chinese technology and so they believe it has to be superior to India's. But, Pakistanis may not yet have the key components to make this device usable.

If Pakistan had any testable device, they would have exploded one between 1974 and now and not waited until India went for the second round, given (i) their style of operation, (ii) the fact that the generals control everything there, (iii) every one had information since 1995 that India was preparing for Pokhran-II tests (courtsey US satellite data).

What do you all think?

Rational
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