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Biotech / Medical : Paracelsian Inc (PRLN)

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To: richard davis who wrote (899)11/17/1996 5:54:00 PM
From: John H. Farro   of 4342
 
Richard, I think you are making a subtle mistake in your analysis which is causing you to paint a slightly overoptimistic evaluation of the AndroCar results. Reread Art Koch's analysis in post 779. Notice that the remark for patinet 2 is "NOW in remission" whereas the remarks for patients 3 and 5 is "REMAINS in remission." I think 2 of the patients were in remission and did not have end stage cancer when they began treatment. Therefore, AndroCar appears to have helped only 3 of the 9 patients. If you eliminate the 2 patients who were in remission from the study, it only helped 3 of 7 patients. Thus, it only helped 42% of the patients with end-stage cancer. This encouraging, but the sample size is so small that it could be a statistical fluke. I will feel a lot better if they can duplicate this result on a larger sample size.

Robin
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