SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (43812)5/23/1998 2:08:00 PM
From: Lee  Read Replies (2) of 58727
 
Hi James,..Re:<< watch the price of crude oil. >>

It is absolutely true that the decreased price in crude has resulted in an indirect tax cut for Americans; however, I'm not sure that it can be tied directly to a future rollover in the S&P unless we would get a spike as in the 1991 Gulf War.

The GCSI is 43.5% weighted in petroleum and the weekly chart looks bearish.
barchart.com

Also, the gains the overall market made last year were made with crude in the 20 - $21/bbl range along with interest rates above 7% a couple of times.

chart5.bigcharts.com:80/report?r=chart&onbad=badsymbol&country=us&time=10&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&ma=4&maval=9&uf=7168&lf=1&type=2&style=3&size=2&symb=TYX&comp=&sid=11421&sec=x&xyz=11559687&s=26882

So, while I agree that Tyx (interest rate) is sensitive to crude prices, I think that we have now too many off-setting factors which tend to keep things in balance.

Also, Fed Chairman Greenspan watches scrap metal prices for hints of coming producer price increases. g

Regards,

Lee
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext