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Technology Stocks : TAVA Technologies (TAVA-NASDAQ)
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To: Craig Rogers who wrote (17593)5/25/1998 10:35:00 PM
From: Karl Drobnic  Read Replies (1) of 31646
 
Craig: "Summer sell-off" - Over the long term, NASDAQ stocks tend to start their downtrend in April and decline into October, then rally through the winter. This also roughly matches a long term pattern in technology stocks, which for a long time were sensitive to an annual summer slowdown in orders from Europe. Dow stocks, over the long term, tend to hit a Spring low and then rally into July, with low points again in Sep./Oct. There is a marked seasonal divergence. Also, any one year can be markedly different from the seasonal pattern. But with RUT declining from +9% on March 31 to about +6% at Memorial Day (down 3%) we are currently following the Small Cap seasonal trend. We are up for the year (normal), but down from the Winter Qtr. close (again, normal).
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