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Technology Stocks : Disk Drive Sector Discussion Forum
WDC 203.86+1.7%10:24 AM EST

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To: Stitch who wrote (3386)5/25/1998 10:40:00 PM
From: Yogi - Paul  Read Replies (2) of 9256
 
Stitch,
<What is going to be the "sweet spot" in terms of capacities, performance, heads, and media?>

I approached this question from popular software angle some months ago. Updating here with some assumptions:

Win 98---------------- 295 MB full (all bells and whistles)
Office 97------------- 335 MB full w/Pub97 and clip art
Quicken 6------------- 15 MB
Duke Nukem------------ 45 MB
Windows On Wall St---- 5 MB (or similar)
Software for following
Sound card
Digital camera
Scanner/fax
TV tuner
Palm Pilot interface
total------ 30 MB (wild ass guess)
Data in files which stays
resident on HD for
more than 30 days-250 MB (my average over 3 months)

Total -------------------------------- 975 MB

Now, I suppose AOL and kiddie games might add another 25% but you are still looking at 2.1 GB being adequate for the average small business or home user. Double that to give the consumer a feeling that their equipment won't be obsolete in less than a year.

My conclusion Sweet spot= 4 GB

Trend- fewer heads, fewer platters, huge competition, more emphasis on ruggedness, access speed, fault free operation.

Disclaimer-- I hate to fly and have been doing it all afternoon. Fortified by bad airline food and worse airline scotch. Encourage all to point out glaring errors without prejudice.

Yogi
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