>>I would think the margins look only a little better than OEM deals, not like cushy V90 margins.<<
Last I heard, from CFO talk with DLJ, is that margins might be tighter than expected due to selling v90 modems through OEM contracts. This is OK with me, just get the doggone modems on the street so people see that they're OK. Then they can leverage a higher price.
>>cable modems sell in bulk Let, the cable company buys a boatload of cable modems and rents/sells them to the customer. That has been the pattern in the past.<<
The arrangement made with TCI.COM (I think) cable company, was that cable modems will be sold through distributor, chosen by TCI.COM, who sells 3Com cable modems. So, the user has to buy it (from one of the TCI.COM specified distributors) themselves (somebody I think has to come in and hook it up - distributor). I remember that they did not necessarily want to rent them out to the user. I took this to be sort of a vague contract where their trying to get cable modems selling, but it's not a sure thing.
From numbers I've seen, cable modem sales are low compared to xDSL and 56K.
My opinion is that cable modem will be a harder sell, but I haven't developed a full enough opinion on it. The important thing is that if Cable Modems or xDSL get popular, 3COM is a top-line manufacturer of these products. So, it wins no matter what direction technology goes.
joe |