F.,
Thanks, I suspect that it was a slow news day for the journalist who filed a story without any particulars though the subject was interesting.
With first silicon in 2001, that implies that 300mm equipment would be shipped by 1999 or early 2000. In turn, that leads me to conclude that there's a rather finite length to the current downturn.
Another interesting story, although it may not come to pass during my investing lifetime (which I hope will be another 30 years)...
Quantum Computers - Think Small, Really Small May 28, 1998 Source: NewsBytes
SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA, Newsbytes via NewsEdge Corporation : Revolutionary " quantum computers" small enough to fit on the end of a single human hair - yet so powerful they would exceed the combined power of all the world's computers - could be a reality within 10 years, says Bruce Kane, research associate at the University of New South Wales' School of Physics.
In the UK science journal Nature, Kane has laid out a proposal for creating just such a quantum computer built from current-technology solid-state silicon devices - but at atomic sizes. The proposal involves placing phosphorus atoms into extremely pure silicon crystals in a precise pattern. "If you can make things at the atom level, you can use the wonderfully weird properties of quantum mechanics to do things that ordinary computers can't," Kane told wire service Australian Associated Press.
UNSW's semiconductor nano fabrication facility is joining with the Universities of Queensland and Newcastle, New South Wales, as well as the University of California at Santa Barbara, on the project. Funding comes from an Australian university capital grant and the Australian Research Council. Major chip maker Intel has also shown interest, according to Kane.
Applications could include super fast credit card transactions, e-mail, encrypted government documents, company financial records - and code-breaking on a major scale . Code-breaking is "what has motivated a lot of people to take the field seriously," said Kane |