Honest to God, Dave, you really MUST stop posting these personal comments about me <GGG>.
I hope you understand I'm joking. I just see myself a bit too clearly to let it go by unremarked.
I think the comment about no specific plan of action is right on for many, many investors and an even larger portion of investors trying out trading.
In my case, for my long term investments I have very specific plans and trigger points, which do not involve the performance of the instruments themselves but rather are based on my long-term objectives and acceptable levels of risk. Naturally my view of the fundamental soundness of various components (individual stocks and mutual funds, mostly in tax-sheltered accounts) affects the mix at any particular time, but only to a fairly small degree on at least 2/3 of the mix because these are VERY broad- based funds. I'm trying to learn enough technical analysis to improve this, but I'm not complaining about current results, and meeting certain objectives has moved me 2/3 into money and IT bonds. This is defensive of gains meeting objectives <VBG>; it is NOT a long-term position for me (Spots's application of the Hippocratic oath: First do no harm).
But I'm very much at sea on trading and shorter term objectives. I've tried percentage stops, and as you say they don't make particular sense unless you're trading on a VERY short term basis (which I don't have time for). Last one I set, the stock traded through my 7% top to down 15% in one morning before I checked the market at 9:40. There it hit a support level and has traded in and around and up since. I know this is a support level because I have watched the stock for months, not because I read it off the chart. The support level would have made a much better stop (which, in a sense, "the market took me to"), but I'm not yet good enough at TA to figure a reasonable stop based on current patterns and/or indicators, generally speaking.
Well, enough of my problems. Takes a lot of tweaking, all right. I hope I'm actually learning something, 'cause I sure as hell feel overwhelmed at the moment.
Regards,
Spots |