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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: Boca_PETE who wrote (5246)5/30/1998 12:35:00 AM
From: kahunabear  Read Replies (2) of 42834
 
WS,

With an S&P 500 price-to-book near 6 and P/E near 28 I am still concerned. After all, the inverse of 28 is an implied return of 3.6% on current earnings. If we are anywhere near the top of the earnings cycle (oops, those aren't supposed to exist anymore -g-), that seems pretty low, given the associated risk.

I am curious what your perspective is on those key valuation ratios.

Regarding "Paid out cash reduces book value"(when buying back shares) . Yes, but should it increase price-to-book, which is through the roof ? Also, how many companies, especially high tech, that buy back their shares actually show a reduction in shares over time ?

BTW, what about those seemingly recurring non-recurring charges and merger/aquisition costs and layoff costs that whittle away at the underlying values of companies ?

WS
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