Internet Company Shakeout? Now, There's A Novel Idea...
Let's see, so it takes a great analyst to tell us that there is going to be a shakeout among the current players on the Web... ?
(I assume this great analyst would NOT have issued a buy signal for KTEL and a price target of $100, right? But, memories are short, aren't they?)
Look, it is beyond obvious to say that some of the current players will be bought or merged into larger entities. But, comparing the Web craze to the biotech craze is SO WRONG ON SO MANY COUNTS it borders on the absurd. The Web run-up has certainly been frothy and and unfathomable and maybe even fraudulent in a few cases. But, the biotech industry had lots of overlooked structural, financial, regulatory, and research obstacles that have made and will continue to make progress agonizing and "burn rates" staggering. All of these factors brought biotech to its knees... a condition that it is only now starting to recover from.
But, the Web, especially in the light of recent comments by Gore and Magaziner, ain't gonna face some of those VERY DAUNTING impediments. For sure, there are infrastructure limitations (i.e. bandwidth), financial concerns (i.e. making a profit or even finding a working business model to position your site for profitability) and competitive issues. All of these are important. Competition being I think the biggest imponderable...
But, let's focus on SEEK, shall we? We are heading toward profitability in Q4... if not sooner. THIS Web company has figured out a workable business model... with revenue streams from CPM-based advertising, transaction participation, and revenue-sharing arrangements PLUS sales of it award-winning UltraSeek server product. And in the coming days and weeks, we will see new announcements focusing on e-commerce arrangements, service enhancements, etc.
So, let's tar all WEB companies with the same brush. Let's trot out silly--and I do mean--SILLY analogies comparing the Web craze and the biotech craze. Or, better yet, let's offer up some chestnut about Commodore and the PC industry. All in all, it sounds like sour grapes from an analyst who missed the boat earlier this year and now REALLY hopes that the boat will now run aground.
Or, best of all, let's talk specifics about THIS company and its opportunities, revenue growth, global presence, new deals, new content, growing eyeballs... etc.
I would really welcome that kind of discussion.
Best Regards,
c m
|