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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: marc chatman who wrote (23199)6/1/1998 5:38:00 PM
From: waverider  Read Replies (3) of 95453
 
Being short NE, perhaps I can shed some light on this. The company is outstanding but...

-there are CONFIRMED lower dayrates in the GOM
-NE is thought of being deep water, but IS NOT
-NE has run up and held better than most = a harder fall
-back in January we had earnings to back us up...this may NOT be the case this time
-we've had below $16 oil for some time...too long...it WILL impact drilling
-the chart on NE looks horrible, as does the entire market
-go with the trend...down

I almost covered my short last week, but saw the downward market action and added. I will continue to hold to my target price (close to previous low)...and may add again to it in the mean time.

This is a painful example when technicals against the trend can cause you to have your head handed to you.

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