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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Investor2 who wrote (19398)6/1/1998 10:47:00 PM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Hi Investor2; About those cpu box makers and vertical
integration...

Yeah, I think the public no longer needs or wants the
latest and greatest (and most expensive) PCs, and that
is why Average Sales Prices are dropping and why I
expect them to continue to drop to unheard of levels.
That will make CPUs into a true commodity, one where
the winner is simply the guy with the lowest cost of
making huge numbers of identical boxes. Certainly
not build to order and ship one at a time. The natural
pick for this would be MUEI for 5 years from now, as
MU can provide them with a little more vertical
integration than the other box makers...

But the chip service people won't get integrated any
more than the machine tool makers got integrated into
the big 3 autos. Machine tools have a large enough
niche to not get absorbed.

By the way, the talk of those bulls whose argument as
to why we will not have a crash is because we haven't
already had one reminds me of certain conversations
I may or may not have had as a high school student...

-- Carl
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