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Technology Stocks : Disk Drive Sector Discussion Forum
WDC 181.54+1.1%Dec 26 9:30 AM EST

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To: Tom Simpson who wrote (3479)6/3/1998 6:07:00 AM
From: Frodo Baxter  Read Replies (1) of 9256
 
I'm not too sure about your liquidation models... The big variable is the property line, as it usually comprises more than the total shareholder equity. Who would want to buy a bunch of SE Asian high-tech factories that need require capital expenditures only to supply an industry in oversupply? Even in the best of times, these guys are all free cash flow negative. Luckily for KMAG, they have an out. They're most likely going to do some sort of convertible deal soon. Don't bottom feed until after this deal has been discounted. All the rest of the players have already exhausted this route, and so are much more levered (and vulnerable).

I still think there's something fishy with HMT's accounting. Are they really that much better than everybody else? A small equity base, vociferous cash burn since birth, and last quarter, a bloat in accounts receivable. Umm, classic danger signs...
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