How high will Microsoft fly? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?

MSFT 490.06

+0.7%

Dec 2 3:59 PM EST

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To: Dwight E. Karlsen who wrote (8254)	6/3/1998 10:50:00 AM
From: mrknowitall	Read Replies (1) of 74651

We're losing sight of the long run implications . . . Even if MS OS market share is cut to 80% - the fight for the desktop in businesses is almost over - the WINTEL client-server volumes are outstripping the SUN/UNIX world rapidly and the consumer market is almost entirely WINTEL or equivalents. In the long run, the OS monopoly power can work to the advantage of everyone as long as it enhances compatibility among applications. Where the danger lies in the future is the economic power MSFT has to keep adding things to the OS to preclude someone from even attempting to round up capital to develop something. IMO, the history of this will be viewed as more analogous to AT&T's protection of Western Electric by keeping everyone out of the communications hardware business until the Carterfone decision. Where this falls apart, though, is that the technological change of pace is now exponential - DOJ or any privately brought action can't get anything done in time to even divert, let alone slow down the deployment of MSFT products. Good or bad - it's what is. If the pace of technology was dramatically slowed there would be time for our courts to appropriately address it, but it's too late. We all have to live with PC's that lock up from time-to-time or software that won't load right the first few times and things like that. And we have to live with the fact that there are things that we'd like to see our computers do that are going to require us to invest in new computers every so often to keep up with the horsepower demands of WindowsXX and the app's that have to run under it.

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