Reporters at Cramer's own theStreet.com don't see it the same way he does either: ------snip-----
Top Stories: Tellabs Deal to Buy Ciena Creates Powerhouse in Hot Market
By Kevin Petrie Staff Reporter 6/3/98 3:40 PM ET
Tellabs (TLAB:Nasdaq) is buying a chip in the optical game.
Tellabs plucked up Ciena (CIEN:Nasdaq) in order to bolster its position in the rising optical-network business. While the dominant data networker Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq) might still make a play for this market, for now Tellabs has secured the slickest manufacturing outfit in a hot new field. The premium on this stock swap is fast vanishing as Ciena shares rise Wednesday, and some investors are sorry to see this pure play fold into a larger concern. But they'll stick with Tellabs in order to test the synergies.
Tellabs plans to issue a share for each share of Ciena's stock. Based on Wednesday afternoon's price, the deal would value Ciena at $6.87 billion, or 63 11/16 per share. Tellabs was down 2 3/16 at 63 11/16, while Ciena was up 4 3/8 at 61 7/8.
Ciena will have had a brief childhood. Trading over 61 Wednesday, Ciena's stock has more than doubled its February 1997 IPO price of 23 as revenue and profits have almost tripled. But there's little time now for nostalgia.
"As a Ciena shareholder, I don't want to let go of the stock. I would rather play it as a pure play," says Chuck McCurdy, executive vice president at Veredus Asset Management. However, he adds, "We'll probably end up owning Tellabs."
The merger pairs Michael Birck, the 60-year-old chief executive who founded Tellabs in 1975, with Ciena CEO Patrick Nettles. Nettles, whose age wasn't given in company materials, came to Ciena in 1994 after several stints with smaller concerns. From 1989 to 1992, Nettles was CFO of Optilink, a supplier of optical components for local phone carriers that was later acquired by DSC Communications (DIGI:Nasdaq).
"This is a real feather in Pat Nettles' cap," says one Ciena shareholder. "He's going to be running Tellabs, basically. Michael Birck is going to become more of a senior statesman." The investor sees little challenge in melding the corporate cultures of Ciena, a Maryland company, with Illinois-based Tellabs. Both carry an entrepreneurial spirit, he says.
Another investor says that at a securities conference last year, Ciena executives inadvertently damaged Tellabs stock by stating that Ciena products might in time supplant certain uses of an older technology built by Tellabs.
It was an overreaction. But Wall Street has long been preoccupied with picking the winners and victims in the emerging optical-networking business.
Optical networking, a hot-button term in techland these days, has a simple meaning: As the Internet swells to accommodate mountains of messages, it relies increasingly on systems made of optical fiber or glass. Optical systems squirt photons instead of electrons. Ciena extended the bandwidth of optical systems by building so-called dense wavelength division multiplexing boxes, which send 16 or more simultaneous streams of light signals through a single fiber.
"Long-haul networking has always been optical," says Tom Nolle, president of the CIMI consulting firm. "What Ciena has done is make DWDM, which makes fiber more efficient."
So Ciena gives Tellabs a big foot in the optical-networks door and increases its bandwidth. But Nolle says there is a missing link -- advanced switches that fuse optical systems without conventional electronic infrastructure. If Ciena doesn't devise such a product, Nolle says, it likely will be relegated to the role of "plumber."
Several people who follow the market say Cisco might make a competing bid for Ciena. Cisco CEO John Chambers has long said that large tech mergers pose problems. Arguably, Cisco stole market share from its rivals such as 3Com (COMS:Nasdaq) after its acquisition of U.S. Robotics last year. However, Cisco cannot afford to ignore the optical business that Ciena dominates. In late April, it partnered with Ciena and disclosed plans to sew its routers onto Ciena's DWDM boxes.
So far, Cisco hasn't thrown its hat in the ring. Ciena's CEO Nettles told the press in a midday conference call that the company has seen no competing bid. Executives said the alliance with Cisco will remain intact. One investor thinks Cisco will keep a sharp eye.
"I don't think they're inclined to make a hostile bid, but down the road they might court the combined companies," says McCurdy.
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Doug |