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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options

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To: Patrick Slevin who wrote (44718)6/4/1998 6:37:00 AM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (1) of 58727
 
Patrick,

>>>>I don't think you want to play the bounce...for what it's worth.
The only way to play this is for a selldown. The long side is very risky, I think. <<<<

You made a very good point. Normally, my rule of thumb is not to short an up market and not to go long in a down market. The key is identifying the trend. In a range trading trend one can go either way; however there are an increasing number of signs showing that we could break the trading range to the downside, although still needs confirmation.

In light of the obvious weakness, I went long yesterday with OEX CALLS at the close knowing that I have my PUT spread forming a strangle of sort. I am not sure if I would have gone long if I did not have my PUTS in place, just in case.

The overall market is a CLASS BUY to obtain at the low for today. If the market breaks out right from the open I would not suggest chasing it. I feel that there is still a chance that the market could test the 8750 support area intraday as it did last week, then pop from there. Any pop probably will be short-lived.

I do not plan on holding onto my calls for too long, but will still keep my put spread since it is increasing in value the longer I hold onto them as long as the OEX stays below/near the buy-in strikeprice of 535.

Seeya
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