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Technology Stocks : CDMA, Qualcomm, [Hong Kong, Korea, LA] THE MARKET TEST!
QCOM 174.780.0%Dec 26 3:59 PM EST

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To: Ramsey Su who wrote (1182)11/21/1996 6:28:00 PM
From: Maurice Winn   of 1819
 
Ramsey, I don't believe the analysts see anything you don't. They see profits doing nothing. They see unproven technology just entering the market with performance guarantees a big liability. They see a "controversial" technology with major risk attached - what if it doesn't work as claimed? They see a shortage of handsets. They see a very competitive market developing with declining margins. They see Highway Master as Omnitracs competition [although they are losing money].

We see the profit as just the outcome of managing income and expenditure to maximize growth. There is no need for profits from a development company. Development companies need investment, they don't pay out profits. We think the technology will work as claimed and performance guarantees will be met. We see a shortage of handsets as a big opportunity to boost production, not a drawback. Most businesses just love the "problem" of too many customers. We see a huge market developing and smaller margins will still mean huge profits.

I don't believe Highway Master is serious competition, but it does mean Omnitracs won't just have it all their own way.

1997 sales for Qualcomm? Oh, I dunno. How about $3bn? Based on last quarter, they were selling at the rate of $1.1bn on an annual basis. So $3bn is going to be about right.

Oki is also a handset supplier already. I'm pretty sure of that.

So just relax and buy more Qcom with spare cash.

Maurice
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