Repeat-Internet Telephony Technologies Will Help Drive Future
Growth of Global Telecommunications Industry
MELVILLE, N.Y., June 1 /PRNewswire/ -- Jeff Pulver, president of pulver.com, Inc., (
pulver.com ), producer of next week's ''Voice on the Net Europe '98'' conference
in Oslo, Norway and Fall '98 Voice on the Net in Washington, D.C., today published his
observations regarding the current trends in the Internet Telephony Industry.
The Pulver Points(TM) on the Internet Telephony Industry:
1. Internet Telephony -- it's a done deal. Future Public Networks will be IP based. Until
recently we all have been putting Data over Voice Networks. Now we will be putting Voice
over Data Networks.
2. Not a 1998 Threat to Service Revenue. Despite the Hype propagated by the media and
mis-informed market analysts -- in the current US$70 Billion Dollar Global Minutes
Marketplace -- 1998 Revenue for IP Telephony Minutes will be no more than US$ 30 million.
3. Many PSTN/IP Gateway Vendors will start to support more than one operating system --
most likely Microsoft NT (Nasdaq: MSFT - news) and a favorite flavor of UNIX.
4. 1999 May be the year of Gateway Interoperability. As of May, 1998 there are very few (if
any) PSTN/IP Gateways which interoperate with PSTN/IP Gateways of Multiple Vendors.
This issue will have a negative effect in the build out of 1998 public IP Telephony based
Networks. This will have NO effect on trials or the build out of private networks where it is
customary to single source a vendor. (But imagine if two Carriers got together and there was
close to zero interoperability between their switches? This PROBLEM needs to be addressed
and corrected by the Industry by early 1999.)
5. Internet Telephony Technologies will become part of embedded systems of future IP
devices. Look for many more Hybrid IP Telephony Appliances in 1999. Examples include the
work Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO - news), Symbol (NYSE: SBL - news) and Selsius Systems have
been doing in this industry.
6. By the year 2000, look for IP to be a supported protocol on the 5ESS switches of Lucent
(NYSE: LU - news), Nortel and Ericsson (Nasdaq: ERICY - news)
7. H.323 will not be the ONLY protocol used by most carriers and service providers when
they roll out their Internet Telephony Services. H.323 interoperability has been proven and
implemented with PC to PC Internet Telephony Client Software. Same can be said for PC to
Phone services. But don't count on Carriers and Service providers blindly accepting H.323 as
the sole protocol to run on their Phone to Phone networks.
8. In 1998 Internet Telephony is all about cheap minutes. This is not hype but fact. The
Internet ''Applications'' will start to show up in late 1998 and early 1999 -- but it is the
excitement of cheap minutes that has gotten the attention of the Global US$ 800 Billion dollar
telecommunications industry. But it will be because of the contributions from the Internet
Telephony Industry that the Global Telecommunications Industry will grow to a US$1.6
Trillion valuation in a much shorter time span than it took to grow to today's US$800 Billion.
9. The Education of NextGen Telcos and PSTN/IP Gateway vendors has begun. Until recently
there was no knowledge of the legacy IN environment demonstrated by many of the NextGen
Telco Operators. During 1998 I have noticed a strong demand for experienced Telecom
operators who have been joining the ranks of NextGen Telcos. Equally strong is the demand
for engineers with working knowledge legacy telephony equipment/environment by PSTN/IP
Gateway vendors. The growing Internet Telephony Industry could be the last major boon for
IN Engineers.
10. Run Internet Call Center applications on well managed Corporate IntraNets and ExtraNets.
Forget about relying on the Internet for customer Care unless you really don't care much
about caring for your customers.
11. The Regulation of Internet Telephony will accelerate the movement of minutes off of the
Public Switched Telephone Network and onto Virtual Private Networks.
Service providers, software developers and equipment vendors interested in learning more
about the Internet Telephony Industry should visit the pulver.com Web site at
pulver.com
About pulver.com: Founded in 1994, pulver.com, Inc. (www.pulver.com) is an Internet based
consulting firm. Pulver.com publishes Internet technology related research such as The Pulver
Report.
The Company also produces trades shows and conferences including Voice on the Net (VON).
Pulver.com also provides consulting services to the telecommunications, financial services and
Radio/TV industry. Pulver.com is based in Melville, NY USA.
|
