Well, the risks in a new technology such as the V-chip is why we call these companies speculative plays. Companies with under $100 million in assets can be treated as speculative. If you want to minimize risk, you can always join in when/if they become conservative, blue chip companies.
I don't know if you've invested in Dell this decade, but back in 1990 it was a small speculative company. These days, it's a bellwether for technology stocks. It certainly makes one more at ease buying Dell these past few years in the hi-tech generation than in 1990 when computers were only for nerds. A $2000 investment in 1997 would bring you a healthy return and you could expect that the company wouldn't crash and burn. However, that same $2000 in 1990 - back when the company had the perception it could go under almost overnight - would be worth $1 million today.
It's all speculation based on your own DD and the level of risk you're willing to take for the potential gains. The V-chip is still at the ground level since only starting to become familiar to people in this world.
As a good exercise, ask ten or twenty people you know (friends, co-workers, boss, daughter, grandson's teacher, etc.) to see if they've heard of V-chip technology and whether they're aware it's very close to implemention. Then ask ten or twenty people again next year, the year after that, and five years from now. Compare the results. I'm sure you'll find them interesting.
In the future, maybe everyone will know what the V-chip is. Or maybe no one will be talking about it if the V-chip concept is discarded. Maybe the early pioneers will become strong like Dell. Or maybe they'll struggle like Syquest and Shiva, also pioneers in their field. Maybe a meteor will hit the earth. There's really no answer because it's all speculation. |
