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Technology Stocks : Advanced Fibre (AFCI) ** IPO
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To: Paul Shread who wrote (485)6/6/1998 8:34:00 PM
From: Danny Boy  Read Replies (2) of 3299
 
Here is what I have outlined for AFCI on selected earnings.

PE Earned Stock 4Q total

54 .17 $35 .65
63 .18 42 .66
72 .19 48 .67
81 .20 55 .68

Note that the higher PE's are based only on year over year quarterly growth and not the historical trend. Stock Prices would represent a sell point on the surprise earnings. AFCI has not been able to go higher than 60 or so on a PE in the last few months representing the maturing of the earnings trend and reduced likelihood of sustained historic growth.
Based on FY99 47 would be par. So you can see the company cannot miss.
Even hitting .17 will most likely cause a selloff at current prices.
I believe that .18 is what the market is expecting and barring any negative comments about future growth .19 or better will give investors what they want.

Good Luck

DGB
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