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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 217.89-1.3%Jan 23 9:30 AM EST

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To: Jerome who wrote (5728)6/7/1998 6:18:00 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) of 10921
 
Jerome,fortinwit: re:"The bottom is here now. Bad news and downgrades are having less and less impact on stock prices."

You meant "more and more impact", didn't you? Yes, we are much closer to capitulation now than 3 weeks ago. We are closer to the bottom. But are we there? I've been on the sidelines since I got out at 37.5, and I've watched a lot of people catch the falling knife in the last few days. "32 is support for amat,I'm in; klac is a great value, I'm in; asmlf is way off its highs, I'm in;yada yada yada".

Great spreadsheet, fortinwit. Notice that the industry leaders (amat,klac,nvls) could lose half their remaining stock price, maintain current sales, and still be above the 1996 P/S trough.

The decision about where the bottom is, is an essentially emotional event. It is unknowable, and not subject to rational analysis. I'll let Mr. Market tell me where the bottom is. And I'll take the risk of buying too late.
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