ANATOLIA SIGNS LETTER AGREEMENT FOR US$10 MILLION JV WITH RIO ALGOM + US$1.5 MILLION PP AT US$0.85/SHARE = STRONG BUY UP TO US$1/SHARE
FAX/EMAIL HOTLINE FOR MARKET HOURS 6 / 4 / 98
Anatolia Minerals (CDN: AMCD.U) has justified our expectations with a tremendous joint venture letter agreement with a world-class major. Going public only three months ago, Anatolia recently announced a US$10 million jv with Rio Algom Ltd. for joint exploration of its outstanding base and precious metal prospects in Turkey. Rio has to spend US$10 million per property in order to earn a 60% interest in either the Yenipazar or Armutbeli projects. Or, at Anatolia's option, Rio has to spend up to US$27.5 million per property and produce a feasibility study to earn a maximum 70% interest in each property. Under the letter agreement, Anatolia will be the operator until Rio earns a majority interest.
On top of this, Rio has agreed to purchase US$1.5 million of Anatolia's shares at a price of US$0.85/share. Of this amount, US$1 million is to be directed to exploration of the Yenipazar and Armutbeli projects over an 18-month pre-earn- in period. Rio also has the option to purchase an additional US$2.5 million of Anatolia shares at the then-current market price, less a 10% discount to extend the pre-earn-in period by 12 more months. As well, Rio gets the right of first refusal on other Anatolia projects during an 18 to 30-month period.
Anatolia management says that its definitive letter agreement with Rio Algom will translate into a comprehensive formal agreement and the private placement at US$0.85 is to be completed no later than mid-July.
MARKET MISPERCEPTIONS
If Anatolia had signed this agreement any time in the prior two years, we think its stock would be trading $3 to $5/share. In the current depressed markets it's understandable that the stock does not properly reflect the importance of this jv with a world-class major. However, we have been astonished that, with the news of this deal, the stock showed little or no reaction. Our conclusion is that the institutional holders in the stock - who have universally elected to get out of all mining shares - are simply pushing out all shares they hold regardless of values in any particular deal. So, it's no surprise that this exceptional stock is only trading US$0.40 on strong selling pressure. It's also no surprise that sophisticated retail and industry-oriented investors are buying it up avidly at these levels.
Our opinion is that when the selling pressure dries up this stock will rapidly move toward the US$1.00 level - particularly with the Rio Algom private placement to be completed by mid-July at the latest at a price of US$0.85. While calculations of how much more stock remains to be force-fed to the market by institutions is necessarily imprecise, we think that perhaps on a worse case there may be up to an additional 1-1« million shares to go before this unseemly and unconsidered binge-selling dries up. Accordingly, we actively recommend aggressive purchase of this stock in the first phase up to US$0.60 per share; and thereafter, an aggressive buy up to US$1.00 based on the projected completion of the Rio Algom agreement in mid-July.
Strong Anatolia projects:
1. AMDC is to Turkey what Newmont Mining was to Peru. They were first in, and grabbed off the richest mineral exploration positions in the country. Right now, Anatolia holds over 1.7-million hectares of prospects in Turkey with outstanding potential. This includes nine major project areas with known exciting mineralization, including:
(a) Yenipazar: 105,000-hectare polymetallic volcanic massive sulfide (VMS) prospect in central Turkey. Large base and precious metal geochem anomaly near ancient open-pit coincides with strong IP and gravity. Four holes drilled at the edge of anomaly all hit near-surface ore, averaging 51 meters of 2.5% base metals, 1.3 grams/t gold and 32 grams/t silver. Best intercept is in last hole, a 200-meter stepout, with 78 meters of ore including top 14 meters at 5% base metals, 8.4 grams/t gold and 141 grams/t silver.
(b) Armutbeli: 35,000-hectare massive copper/gold replacements, gossans and shear zones in south-central Turkey. Intense copper anomaly and gossan zone over 3 square km (up to 10%+ copper, 1.2 grams gold and 171 grams silver), underlain by very strong shallow gravity anomaly. Three dozen massive gossans average 1.24% copper, 0.15 grams gold and 8 grams silver. Seven recon samples of 2-kilometer-long shear zone ran 2-11 grams gold.
(c) Bulancak: 9,400 hectares in a rhyodacite dome near the Black Sea in north-central Turkey. Square kilometers of VMS and stockwork base metals mined for over 4,000 years, with 12% copper shipped in the 1960s. Recon drilling and channel sampling gave up to 170 meters of 1% base metals and 3 grams silver.
2. AMDC's CEO, Dick Moores, is a proven mine-finder. Prior to forming Anatolia, he brought two major copper projects into AZCO Mining (AMEX:AZC), and identified and obtained financing for a major Mongolian copper SXEW project. Moores is a no-nonsense operator who is highly regarded by the fraternity of mining majors.
Risk/reward ratio is rated as outstanding for stock bought in the US$0.60 range, and up to US$1.00. The stock closed June 3 at US$0.33/share. (The company was financed at US$0.60 18 months ago and at US$0.50 last fall). Strong buy.
NRI/WGSR
For immediate AMCD.U corporate information, call 303-670-9945. Knowledgeable U.S. broker is Ben Johnson at 800-547-4898.
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