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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Oeconomicus who wrote (20037)	6/10/1998 4:06:00 AM
From: Harvey Allen	Read Replies (1) of 94695

'You Ain't Seen Nothin' Yet,' an Economist Warns: John Dorfman Corporate profits have risen eight years in a row. What would happen to the stock market if they fell? That's a question investors ought to be asking. Profit growth has been slowing for three years, and now is almost at a standstill. This earnings slowdown occurred while the U.S. economy was growing fairly fast. But some economists predict a U.S. economic slowdown in the second half. One who makes a strong case is Stephen Slifer of Lehman Brothers Inc. The trade deficit is ballooning, Slifer says, and inventories are building up fast. Put those two things together, and it makes a second-half slowdown likely. His fears make sense to me. bloomberg.com

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