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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum

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To: Frodo Baxter who wrote (4435)6/12/1998 9:58:00 AM
From: Sam  Read Replies (1) of 9980
 
Larry,
"Now I know some of you of particularly ursine proclivities thinks is the beginning of some kind of 1929-style depressionary spiral. But you have yet to make a case for why the Fed doesn't have enough maneuvering room to avert this nonsensical and implausible nightmare."
I agree with you about the problem--that deflation is currently a greater threat than inflation. I also think that deflation is harder to fix than inflation. But I think that the Fed--and a lot of economists out there as well--are still fighting the last battle; that is, against inflation. They see it as more likely than deflation, especially with the tighter labor market. Don't forget that labor is a much higher percentage of the cost of most things than materials.
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