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Channel Up To Speed On V.90 -- Distributors report strong sales of new modems
techweb.com
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Channel Up To Speed On V.90 -- Distributors report strong sales of new modems By Hailey Lynne Mckeefry
New York -- As the V.90 modem standard nears ratification, distributors are finding that the channel is well-equipped to handle the demands of resellers for the newest devices that provide download speeds of up to 56 Kbits per second and uploads at speeds of up to 33.6 Kbps.
The final version of the standard, expected in September, will be the death knell for the incompatibility issues and confusion surrounding 56 Kbps modems that have plagued resellers and users alike.
Distributors report that demand for new V.90 modems has been strong and consistent since the units became available. They agree that modems are readily available from those manufacturers who are already shipping product.
Even with of the availability of new V.90 modems, however, distributors say they feel little concern about being left with older 56 Kbps products. Two older standards will be replaced by the new V.90.
The K56flex standard was co-authored by Lucent Technologies Inc. and Rockwell International Corp., while the competing X2 standard was created by U.S. Robotics Inc. and 3Com Corp. The V.90 standard, which was developed by the International Telecommunication Union,
an international standards organization, will supercede and replace both X2 and K56flex.
Even if there are older modems left on distributor shelves, most of them, whether K56flex or X2, can be upgraded with software downloaded for free from the modem manufacturers' Web sites.
"We have moved out most of the old products," said Jenny Ayala, senior director of purchasing at distributor Ingram Micro Inc., Santa Ana, Calif. "In fact, it has been easy to do because all the manufacturers offered free upgrades to their new products. Sales have been consistent and good."
Distributors reported an initial spike in demand for the V.90 modems when unit shipments first became available. "I am seeing a strong push on V.90 sales for the manufacturers who have them available," said Tina Fisher, product manager at D&H Distributing Co. Inc., Harrisburg Pa. "The consensus is that people would rather buy a modem that incorporates V.90 than do the upgrade via the Web," she said.
The first modem vendors to enter the market include Santa Clara, Calif.-based 3Com, which started shipping a V.90 and X2 model and Zoom Telephonics Inc., Boston, which introduced internal V.90/K56flex modems.
Other manufacturers will quickly join the ranks with new products, and product shipments will reflect that. Moorpark, Calif.-based VisionQuest 2000 Inc., a market researcher, estimates the number of modems shipped each year likely will rise to 75 million by the year 2000, from 50 million in 1997.
Currently, many manufacturers are offering dual-mode modems that combine support for V.90 and X2 or K56Flex, to answer the concerns of users until V.90 support is more readily available from Internet service providers.
"About 95 percent of manufacturers have moved to V.90 standard," said Scott Knapp, a buyer at Ingram Micro. "The consumer markets will migrate to V.90 when the ISPs migrate to the new standard now and through the next six months."
This means that resellers still need to be aware of which standard the Internet service provider that its customer will be using supports.
Some manufacturers said they plan to ship modems that support the older standards until next fall when the standard is finalized, in hopes of avoiding adding to the number of product SKUs.
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At 75 million units/year, they can do damn well with 'low margin' products.
If 3Com gets ownership of the modem market, with its 'expertise', it won't be "just low margin" profits. |